El Niño could lead to a below or near average hurricane season

El Nino 2025 To 2025 Weather Forecast. El Nino 2025 Minnesota Elga Lisabeth This year is tough on long-range forecasters looking at the heart of the 2025 growing season in the United States As is typical for forecasts made in the spring, there is large forecast uncertainty at longer time horizons, with no outcome exceeding a 50% chance (chances of El Niño are the lowest).

ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation)-neutral simply means the ocean is neither unusually warm (El Niño) nor unusually cool (La Niña). While 2024 has seen the continuation of El Niño conditions, the forecast suggests that 2025 may usher in new dynamics, possibly transitioning back to La Niña or neutral ENSO conditions

2025 2025 Winter Weather Forecast Carl Ogden

During October-December 2025, there are equal chances (42%) of ENSO-neutral and La Niña. The probability of El Niño remains very low throughout the forecast period, increasing gradually from 1% in Apr-Jun to 20% in Nov-Jan 2025/26.s are favored to continue through Sep-Nov 2025. The agency says that there is a 60 per cent chance conditions will shift back to what scientists call an ENSO-neutral temperature range during March-May 2025, increasing to 70 per cent for April-June 2025

Weather Bell 2025/2025 Winter Forecast Travis S Hall. As is typical for forecasts made in the spring, there is large forecast uncertainty at longer time horizons, with no outcome exceeding a 50% chance (chances of El Niño are the lowest). La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, a pattern of changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean and the atmospheric circulation over the tropical Pacific that persists for many months.

Weather Bell 2025/2025 Winter Forecast Travis S Hall. La Niña conditions persisted through February, but forecasters expect ENSO-neutral conditions to develop in the next month and persist through the Northern Hemisphere summer. In the Niño 4 region farther west, sea surface temperature anomalies are also projected to decrease to near-average